The Migration to Electric Vehicles in a Nutshell
I had a chat with a friend at lunch just now who asked me for a summary of the migration to electric transportation. I tried to sum it up as follows:
We know pretty-much where we’re going and why we’re going there. 100 years from now, we won’t be driving gas-powered cars and trucks. We can’t, for several reasons — peak oil chief among them. I.e., we couldn’t find that much oil even if we weren’t concerned about the other enormous problems as well: national security, environmental damage, lung disease, etc.
So I suppose you could say that we know where we’re heading (electric vehicles) — and why. But we don’t really know when, how, or who. In other words, we’re still trying to figure out:
When, i.e., how quickly, will all this happen?
How will all the key issues (charging infrastructure, battery chemistry, etc.) work themselves out?
And, the question that underlies all the others: Who is going to make a buck in the process? (Figure that last one out, and you’ll have a huge clue to the others.)