Nate Hagens – Why The Next 40 Years Are Going To Be Tough
When economist Nate Hagens agreed to an interview for my second book (“Is Renewable Really Doable?”) I was quite pleased – in part because I knew that his thinking lies at odds with a great number of others who study the subject, and I wanted to present a well-rounded discussion to my readers. As opposed to those who see a vibrant new growth economy right around the corner, perhaps one based on an explosion of cleantech, Hagens explains why that won’t happen. Here’s a recent video on the subject.
As much respect as I have for Nate, I have to say that I’m skeptical of people who claim to predict what life will be like on this planet in 40 years. Here’s a quick list of causes of potential runaway change that I think renders any notion of life on Earth in 40 years completely unknowable:
- Rogue states with nuclear weapons
- Climate change and resultant extreme weather events and water/food shortages
- Breakthrough energy technology
- The trend toward fascism and people’s reaction to that trend