During my interview with Matt Simmons on “peak oil” for my book on renewables, I asked about suggestions for averting the imminent disaster he sees associated with maintain the status quo in energy generation and consumption. The response:

Large wind turbines will soon be built at the University of Maine and tested off the Maine coast, made from advanced composites with breakthrough characteristics in strength, weight, and cost. Once put into production, they can be used to produce large quantities of ammonia.

Matt pointed out that anhydrous ammonia (NH3), also known as “the other hydrogen,” is ultra-clean and energy-dense — the closest thing to a perfect transportation fuel.

He laid out a significant list of benefits:

  • Liquid at ambient temperatures and moderate pressures (~125 psi)
  • Has 52% of the energy density of gasoline, more than 50% more energy dense than liquid hydrogen
  • Can be used directly in internal combustion engines, using relatively straightforward conversions of gasoline and diesel ICEs
  • Easy to store and deliver in large quantities
  • Current worldwide annual production of ammonia is ~130 million tons
  • A storage and delivery infrastructure of pipelines, barges, rail and truck already exists for ammonia, with 3000 miles of pipeline in the US heartland; retail ammonia outlets exist in almost every state
  • Can be produced cleanly from coal and natural gas with carbon sequestration, and also from biomass, renewable energy sources and nuclear power, using nitrogen from the air
  • Contains no carbon, so releases no GHGs on combustion; also any NOx is easily neutralized

I propose to conduct a bit more research on this subject, and post my findings when they are available. In the meanwhile, please feel free to comment.

Tagged with: , , , , , , , , , , ,

In the talk Dr. David Mills gave recently in on solar thermal, he closed by telling his audience that renewable energy was “a moral issue,” meaning, of course, that we as a species have a series of related ethical obligations regarding our environment. When I put this together with the ideas of some other people I’ve interviewed for my book on renewables, I arrive at a considerable laundry list of clear consequences of pursuing the status quo in terms of power generation and consumption:

Increasing rates of serious diseases directly and indirectly caused by fossil fuel extraction, refinement, distribution and combustion

Suffering of other animals brought about by reduction in habitable areas, food supplies, and accelerated extinction of species

Storms, droughts, and famines associated with global climate change

Destruction of crustaceans and associated ecosystems due to ocean acidification

Increased violence from terrorist groups and rogue states empowered by wealth derived from oil

Reduced quality of life for our descendents

Social chaos engendered by imminent gasoline shortages

In my talk yesterday with Matt Simmons of “peak oil” fame, he pointed out that social chaos will ensue as oil becomes scarce and gasoline becomes unavailable in an increasing number locations over increasingly long periods of time. I asked Matt, not generally known for his rose-colored predictions of the future for an oil-addicted world, for a solution. To my surprise and delight, he provided one without a moment’s hesitation. More on this tomorrow.

Tagged with: , , , , , , , , , ,

PhotobucketA great number of readers have written in recently asking about raising investment capital. Most are fairly non-specific about this, hoping, I suppose, to find an extremely wealthy angel investor who likes their idea – in terms of both its risk/reward profile and its philanthropic merits – and is willing to roll the dice. This can happen – in fact, is does happen every day.

Yet I want to write a short post on venture capital. By contrast to angel investors, VCs tend to:

1) Use other people’s money rather than their own; they represent large pools of capital that come from pension funds, government entities, endowments, etc., and

2) Be extremely selective about the deals they take on, looking to “swing for the fences,” as I like to say, i.e., embracing deals whose upside potential is enormous, where an occasional success more than compensates them for their many (smaller) failures.

Looking back on my 25-year career as a marketing consultant to high-tech companies, I remember the good old days fondly. Most of our clients were Fortune-sized: Sony, Pioneer, Oracle, Microsoft, National Semiconductor, IBM, 3M, Philips, 3Com, ITT, Fedex, Xerox, Hewlett-Packard, as so forth — but many were venture-capitalized start-ups. As one of several examples, I worked for years for a nascent company called etNetworks – a joint venture with IBM that was focused on using satellite technology to deliver IBM courseware to computer resellers worldwide. Representatives of the venture team were in most of our meetings, and I got to know the type of expectations they have and the way they like to interact with the management teams (and consultants) within their portfolio companies.

The upside potential of etNetworks, as I demonstrated in my numerous research presentations, was most definitely there. The numbers penciled out beautifully in terms of the size of the reseller market-base, their disdain for travelling to receive training, and their willingness to pay for training and educational services. Initially, a venture capital giant took a huge position in the company.

And, to a lesser extent, so did I; in exchange for a substantial reduction in billings, I received over $1 million in etNetworks’ stock. I remember my seven-year-old son was so excited when, in an effort to get him to grasp the concept of equity ownership, I explained this all to him. “How many Lamborghinis can we buy if etNetworks goes public at $5 a share?” he’d ask, his eyes as wide as tennis balls. “A whole parking lot full of ’em,” I replied, hugging him close.

Its current value? Zero. It wasn’t the homerun it looked like a few years earlier — more like a ground-out to the shortstop — a disappointment for everyone – including my son and me.  Essentially, the advent of a reliable, ubiquitous, high-bandwidth Internet did the same thing to etNetworks that it’s in the process of doing to the video rental industry.

Of course, new venture deals happen every day — and many create huge rewards for all concerned.  In the process of discussing renewable energy business consulting with 2GreenEnergy readers, I’ve provided my experiences with this process, and offered whatever advice I’m able to.

To add to that, I just came across this truly excellent article on the realities of pitching VCs on an idea; the author explains this process far better than I can from my perspective.   Enjoy, and good luck.

Tagged with: , ,

Each week, many people write into us at 2GreenEnergy from all around the globe wanting some sort of assistance with renewable energy ideas. Normally, “assistance” means “funding.” It’s certainly true that we are connected with a small team of carefully chosen boutique investment bankers in NY City, and that we routinely pass along the business plans that seem most solid to them.

But I have to admit that I have a morbid fascination with those business plans that don’t pass muster – that I consider to be fatally flawed (plans that, of course, I do not pass along). I’ve even developed a set of categories for them in my own mind.

First are those that are clearly specious in terms of basic engineering and physics, e.g., a wind turbine that supposedly captures two or three times more energy than the conventional three blades. Wrong. This is impossible, since the existing system already harvests about 60% of wind “flux,” i.e., the wind that passes through the circle defined by the tips of the turning blades.

Along these lines we have the perpetual motions machines, which seem to arrive here at a more-less constant pace. This category is composed, again – in the privacy of my own mind — of two sub-groups: “crackpots” (that is, people who seem to believe their story) and “charlatans” (people who don’t).   I’m never nasty or condescending with anyone, but I DO ask to see a working model.  Strangely, I get this response (uniformly):  No, I don’t have a working model; I just need another few hundred thousand dollars, and I can produce one quickly.  “Gosh, sorry,” I say, “I’m afraid I can’t help.”

The other broad category of “non-starter” plans are those who have obviously bitten off more than they can chew. Here we have inventors who seem to lack a sense for the idea that the hard work is just beginning – maybe a fellow with a legitimate breakthrough who somehow believes that all the R&D, manufacturing marketing, and distribution are simply unimportant afterthoughts.

I sometimes find myself explaining something to someone that I’m quite certain he’d rather not hear, for example, “Your idea could change the world — but there’s a problem. You have a vision …. but you’re neither a seasoned businessman, a financier, a patent attorney, a human resources executive, a manufacturer, nor a distributor. I ask you to consider a basic solution, one that has been employed by smart people all over the world: sell or license your idea. I can help you sell this concept to a fully funded corporate entity that wants to bolster its position technologically and gain an additional competitive advantage. Or maybe we could talk about setting up a meticulously protected licensing relationship with an enterprise that has already established manufacturing practices — along with existing distribution channels.”

In essence, it’s the concept of core competency that became fashionable in the 1980s. Simply do what you’re good at. Don’t rein in your success by converting a personal weakness into a stumbling block toward your company’s progress.

And this rule is even more applicable in the world of clean energy than it is elsewhere, as this industry is destined to soon be measured in the trillions of dollars annually. Cut a licensing deal for your technology that captures a millionth of that market. You’ll be doing just fine.

Tagged with: , , , , , , , ,

Passionate global warming skeptic Alex C. writes:

Scientific evidence, facts, truth, and “global warming” is NOT a democratic activity where whoever has the most votes wins … There is only one truth at it is not up to a vote. When so much politics, money, and power are involved it is clear that left wing socialists or environmenalist extremists could care less about facts. It is becoming clear that man made CO2 has not caused global warming…Please avoid using majority rule to make decisions.

Again (and I swear this is true) my blogging software asked me to approve your comment — even though I’ve set it so as to let everything but the most obvious spam through uncensored. Apparently WordPress seems to think you’re an extremist!  🙂  Personally, I think you have your rights to your own opinions.

Having said that, let me tell this story. When I decided to enter the GW discussion a couple of years ago, I told a few friends about my concerns. “A 400 million year correlation between CO2 and global temperature doesn’t mean that CO2 increase causes temperature increase. What if temperature increase causes a CO2 increase? What if they’re both driven by a third parameter?” I asked.

My friends — each one — urged me to do my own investigation.

My response, which I would give again now, is simply this: I don’t have the hundreds of thousands of manhours to retrace all these scientists’ steps. I have to decide this for myself as I would if I were a judge hearing a civil case, i.e., trust in the veracity of the testimony of credible people, and base my decision (as I think you need to base yours) on the preponderance of the evidence.

What seems most credible here? That the vast majority of climatologists are leftists? That Marxist ideologies are shaping interpretation of enormous amounts of data in the halls of MIT, Cal Tech, and Scripps? Sorry, I don’t think so.

But you raise a good point. Will believing in the preponderance of the evidence in front of us always bring us the right answer? Of course not. It can fail us at any time, just as it did the people who believed the earth was flat 500 years ago.  But it’s the best that I — or anyone else — can do.

Tagged with: , ,

Dr. David Mills, founder and chief scientist of solar thermal leader Ausra, was generous enough with his time to help me with the chapter on concentrated solar power in my upcoming book on renewables. I happened to be watching this lecture he gave recently in his homeland (Australia) which I heartily recommend. It is entirely non-technical and accessible to anyone, while providing a worthy history of renewable energy – as well as a solid, well-reasoned direction for the future.

In it, he speaks about the safety and overall viability of nuclear energy, and provides essentially the same one that I always do: we already have a huge fusion reactor with an endless supply of fuel, no problems with operational safety, no million-year hazard associated with storing spent fuel, and no open invitations for terrorists or rogue states to attack, or use the technology to build bombs. It’s called the sun. Best of all, it’s separated from the Earth’s surface by a distance of 93 million miles – which is perfect; it’s far enough away to be safe, while close enough to provide us with more than enough clear power — insofar as we need to harvest only one out of every 6000 photons that is received at the Earth’s surface in order to address all the needs of all 7 billion of us.

This may sound like a flippant answer, but I don’t believe it to be. The cost of reaping this power is coming down every month. If we retain our focus on perfecting a few technologies for capturing that energy; we’ll be there very shortly. I urge readers to learn about solar thermal; I know you’ll share in my optimism.

Tagged with: , , , , , , , , , , ,

PhotobucketI just posted this piece on renewable energy business plans on RenewableEnergyWorld.com.  In essence, I encourage everyone trying to make their way in the clean energy industry to be honest with themselves about their strengths and weaknesses, and consider selling or licensing their technology to a larger enterprise if this will foster the development of their technology.

Tagged with: ,

You’ve developed an alternative energy concept that will revolutionize the way power is generated and distributed to an energy-starved planet.

You have a renewable energy idea that could change the world.

But there is ONE PROBLEM:

You’re a VISIONARY…

  • not a businessman
  • not a financier
  • not a patent attorney
  • not a human resources executive
  • not a manufacturer
  • not a distributor

Fortunately, there is a simple solution. And 2GreenEnergy can help you achieve it:

SELL OR LICENSE YOUR IDEA.

(Which is best and what’s involved?)

Determining what’s right for your unique circumstances starts with a phone call, or by sending an email, to set up a free consultation.

Hit CONTACT and let 2GreenEnergy help you pursue one of these two ideas:

1) Renewable Energy Mergers and Acquisitions

Should your idea be sold to a large, fully funded organization that wants to bolster its position technologically and gain further competitive advantage?

2) Clean Energy Technology Licensing

Should you establish one or more carefully protected relationships with large enterprises, which have established manufacturing practices and existing, well-supported distribution channels?

Click CONTACT for a free, no-obligation consultation with Craig Shields, 2GreenEnergy’s Senior Consultant in Mergers/Acquisitions and Technology Licensing

Craig Shields is a renewable energy business consultant with over 25 years experience helping technology companies make the right strategic moves. He’s worked with venture capitalists, angel investors, investment bankers, and most of the world’s Fortune 500 technology companies, including Oracle, Microsoft, IBM, 3M, 3Com, CSC, AT&T, Sony, Pioneer Electronics, Philips Electronics, FedEx, Xerox, National Semiconductor, and Hewlett-Packard.

Just click CONTACT to speak with Craig Shields, for a free, no-obligation consultation.

Tagged with: , ,

2GREENENERGY: MAKING CLEAN POWER WORK

Need help applying for your renewable energy grant?

Click CONTACT for a free, no-obligation conversation with a professional grant-writer from 2GreenEnergy

Talk to Vicki Brace, 2Green Energy’s Renewable Energy Grant Writer.

Ms. Brace has been actively working in alternative energy and clean technologies for almost 30 years. She carries with her abiding passion for our environment, and brings a level of experience created by 25+ years of writing grant proposals and submissions. This, of course, is of greater importance than ever before due the presence of enormous qualities of DoE stimulus funding.

Vicki earned her BS from Linfield College in Oregon in Political Science, and holds a Masters degree in in Industrial-Organizational Psychology from Northern Kentucky University; she is currently working towards her Ph.D. Vicki writes grants for the EPA, DoE, and EERE/APRA-E, as well as private foundations, and stands ready to help 2GreenEnergy clients tap into DoE stimulus.

Click “Contact” to enter your name, email, and phone number; someone will call you back within 24 hours.

Tagged with:

2GREENENERGY: MAKING CLEAN POWER WORK

Large renewable energy project?

Need help with permitting?

PPAs?

Grid tie?

2GreenEnergy associates have decades of experience in advising clients on utility-scale wind and solar (PV, solar thermal, and hybrid) projects. Whether the program you’re contemplating is a gigawatt or just a few megawatts, let us help you through the rough waters that surround permitting and making deals with Energy Service Providers.

Want a free, no-obligation conversation with a renewable energy project consultant?

Click “Contact” to enter your name, email, and phone number; someone will call you back within 24 hours.

Tagged with: , , , , , , , , , ,