PhotobucketNot to harp on the obvious, but without vigorous grassroots efforts to the contrary, the migration to renewable energy and clean transportation will be slow and arduous. In news that underscores this point, Toyota unveiled its new plug-in hybrid, promising sales in 2011 at an “affordable” price. Executive vice president Takeshi Uchiyamada told an eager audience that Toyota’s plug-in travels 14.5 miles as an electric vehicle on a single charge.

Not everyone agrees with me on this, but I find this product — and the timing of its launch — a considerable snooze. Toyota could have had a plug-in hybrid with 30 – 50 mile electric-only range in the market many years ago. Why didn’t they? Because it wasn’t in their interest to do so. They were already perceived as “green” (with the Prius), and there was nothing in it for them to move this along until they absolutely had to.

This offering is good for Toyota in every way. The small battery pack will be easy to build, support, sell – and ultimately replace with new technology as soon as it comes along. The fact that most drivers will be disappointed in that they will continue to use gasoline on a daily basis is apparently not a significant part of the equation.

I’m reminded of shopping at Costco, the experience of which always leaves we thinking: I’m not buying what’s good for me; I’m buying what’s good for Costco to sell me – whatever they can source inexpensively, and sell in quantities that are almost always far greater than its customers want. Need a canister of salt? Think you can get it at Costco? No, if you want salt, you get a 25-pound sack – sufficient to last a family of four about 30 years.

But is it fair to expect altruism from Toyota — or any other corporation, when their sole purpose is to make money? Today’s corporate titans think of themselves as “customer-focused,”  though that’s for business reasons, not out of true concern for fulfilling customers’ needs.  If that weren’t the case, we woudn’t have planned obsolescence — products that are built to wear out and fall apart, necessitating replacement by new ones. 

The bottom line is this: at the end of the day, electric transportation will not come from the “push” of the OEMs; the only thing we have going for us is the “pull” from customers like me (and, I hope, like you) who simply refuse to buy another 25 MPG planet-buster.

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PhotobucketI don’t think too many of us had high hopes for definitive negotiations emanating from Copenhagen. Today we learned of China’s announcement that the developing world won’t commit to greenhouse gas emissions reductions until the developed world leads the way – a stalemate that is regrettable but hardly surprising.

What is perhaps more interesting is the timing of ExxonMobil’s purchase of domestic oil and gas giant XTO Energy for $31 billion. In the media, it was reported as a bet on natural gas (as a lower emission energy source than oil), showing that Exxon anticipates growing restrictions on CO2 emissions. To me, it looks like the precise opposite – i.e., a bet that Copenhagen will not produce a binding result, and that fossil fuels will remain alive and well for the foreseeable future.

In any case, I think we all need to be aware of the fact that, without vigorous grassroots efforts to the contrary, the migration to renewable energy will be a slow and arduous one.

In a typical week, I receive half a dozen or so business plans with requests for funding.  I find all of these intriguing in one way or another — even the ones that I can see instantly have no chance.

As I’ve mentioned before, I get the occasional perpetual motion machine.  I’m never rude or catty with anyone, and I’m always happy to provide advice. But I remind such inventors that the investment community has been taught since they were toddlers that anyone claiming to have built a machine that delivers more power than it consumes is either a liar or an idiot.   If you have a working model, great — I want to see it.  If you don’t, brace yourself for scorn.

Many of the other plans are simply bad ideas coming from nice, well-meaning people.  A very pleasant lady (apparently young — she writes with exclamation points) has an idea for wind farms in the mountains.  But why?  Why go to the expense of building an even higher tech turbine to capture the energy from wind that is not blowing parallel to the earth’s surface, and installing and grid-tying it in hard-to-access areas — when there are zillions of square miles of flat windy plains?  She seems like a charming and honest young person with a good heart, but I can’t see investors rushing to her with money to develop this technology.

Among these, however, are some real gems.  I’m working hard on behalf of quite a number of inventors and entrepreneurs to get them the funding they will need to get their companies launched.  Again, it’s fascinating stuff; I open each new email with great hope and anticipation.

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PhotobucketI don’t know the extent to which most readers are aware of the frequent comments of Dan Conine, whom I would characterize as irreverent but incredibly bright. Here, in response to my piece on James Woolsey, he writes:

Ask him about shadow government agencies, Iran Contra connections to 9/11, and why he thinks Obama has not followed through on releasing government documents. Nothing is more renewable than ex-gov employees’ hot air.

LOL, as usual. Sorry, but I think I’ll take another tack with this interview. Yet you suggest a good point that I do intend to pursue — one that will make this such a fascinating experience for me: How does it happen that a true patriot comes to hold a position that seems to challenge the very integrity of an entire presidential administration — or maybe several? Unless I’m missing something, Mr. Woolsey is saying — or at least implying — that our leaders have acted more in their personal interests (as oilmen) than in the national interest, protecting the safety and security of the people who elected them.

In my opinion, what makes Mr. Woolsey so valuable to the cause of sustainability is his position as a frequent presidential appointee — combined with his lack of willingness to blunt his words. It’s easy for people (like me) on the outside to take potshots; it’s quite another thing for such assertions to come from within.

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PhotobucketI want my book on renewables to feature a few chapters on the public sector – what our government at various levels is doing to promote clean transportation and energy. To knock out the piece on municipalities, this morning I’m on my way to interview Rick Sikes, the manager of the fleet of the city of Santa Monica (CA).

I may have mentioned that I moderated a panel discussion at the AltCarExpo this fall. Rick was assigned a different panel — and he certainly has the “creds”: 87% of the fleet he controls is alternative fueled. He was recommended to me as something of a legend among city planners and managers; I’m certainly looking forward to the interview.

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PhotobucketThe trajectory for completing my book on renewables just received a major shot in the arm this morning as James Woolsey, one of the most vocal and credible proponents of alternative energy, agreed to an interview for my chapter on oil independence and national security. Mr. Woolsey’s role as Director of the Central Intelligence Agency from 1993 to 1995 was one of his four Presidential appointments across two Republican and two Democratic administrations.  In my mind, he is the best-qualified person on the planet to speak to these issues. 

Over the past few years, I’ve availed myself of a great deal of Mr. Woolsey’s writing and speaking, so I can anticipate what I think he’ll probably say on these issues – the manifold threats to US interests that oil addiction represents: the funding of enemy states, possible terrorists strikes, embargoes, and other potential disruptions in supply, the economic duress created by our borrowing $2 billion per day, etc. I also expect to hear about the remedies – many of which I’ve tried to cover in this blog over the past many months: alternative fueled vehicles (especially electric transportation) and renewable energy.

The current “debate” about global warming underscores the importance of having people like James Woolsey present in our world – people who cut through the political gamesmanship that is so common in public discourse, dispense with opinion and rhetoric, and focus on hard-hitting, well-researched facts.  I eagerly anticipate the conversation.

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PhotobucketIn my quest for a well-balanced presentation of clean energy in my upcoming book, I just spoke with someone whose work I’ve admired for quite a while — Stephen Lacey of Renewable Energy World. We discussed the subject of media, and the optimum approach to developing and distributing unique content in a space that’s changing every minute.

I think of Stephen the way I do PBS’s Charlie Rose: a guy who can conduct an intelligent conversation on hundreds of different subjects.  And as I told him, the aspect of his publication that I find most striking is its bandwidth; there are so many things happening every day on this front, and these people never seem to miss a single one — nor do they simply regurgitate junk news from other sources.

Stephen has invited me to blog on his site, and I’ll certainly be taking him up on that offer. Right now, I plan to confine my remarks there mainly to business-related subjects – perhaps offering tips for his readers on the commercialization of renewable energy business ideas: raising capital, public relations, SEO, Web 2.0 marketing, positioning, branding, sales channels development, and so forth. These are topics that don’t seem to be treated with as much depth and frequency as some other aspects of the migration to clean energy, and I hope they’ll find some resonance with his readers.

If you haven’t yet subscribed to their excellent (and free) newsletter, there’s no time like the present.

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I’m always delighted when I come across supporters of the idea that I’ve referred to as the “level playing field” for renewable energy. That is, I’m not asking for a subsidy for solar, wind, geothermal, etc. Rather, I’m asking that producers and consumers of fossil fuels simply pay the full cost of these forms of energy, including the costs of healthcare (caring for victims of the mercury, arsenic and other pollutants that cause lung damage and birth defects) as well as cleaning up the vast environmental damage. If we were somehow able to get such a system in place, we’d make the migration to renewable energy in the blink of an eye.

Here’s an op-ed piece in today’s New York Times that speaks to the very issue. Given the watered down discussions in Copenhagen, I think it’s more than a little relevant.

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PhotobucketWhen I was a little boy, the concept of the domino effect occupied a large and scary part of the national consciousness. For those too young to remember, the idea at the time was that, if one country in Southeast Asia fell to communism, then surrounding countries — like tumbling dominos — would as well.

50 years later, we see the same concept applied to electric transportation. Examples of entire nations that are replacing internal combustion engines in favor of electric vehicles (EVs) will soon show the world that this migration process is achievable, and serve as working models for the numerous benefits of eradicating petroleum – engendering the envy of all other nations on earth.

Understandably, this transition is occuring first in places where the benefits of electricity vs. gasoline are most pronounced, e.g., islands nations. Witness Liuqiu, an island off the southern coast of Taiwan, which is in the process of spending $15.5 billion to effect this change. Closer to me personally, check out Bermuda and the actions they are taking, partially under my team’s direction, to do the same on a somewhat larger scale.

It won’t be long until the world can see how painless this transition can be, and how a nation can serve as a beacon of leadership to others in the quest for environmental sustainability.

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PhotobucketA quick comment on California’s governor Arnold Schwarzenegger’s presence at the Los Angeles Auto Show. My friend Steve Ellis at Honda, who also spoke, submitted this video to EVWorld.

If you watch the first few minutes, you’ll see great political speechmaking at work. The governor introduced the car companies and the state EPA as if they were friends, working hand in hand to preserve the pristine California skies.

Of course, anyone who knows anything about the last 15 years of the state’s history knows that this is utter tripe. Not that anyone’s asking me to run for office, but this is the very reason I couldn’t get elected dogcatcher: I simply wouldn’t be able to pronounce a statement as patently absurd as this.

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