I just ran across some predictions for the stock market in the year 2030, which made me think about the so-called futurists (those who get paid to predict the future) and what they must be wrestling with.
Tag: Black Swan
Does the Earth’s Crust Contain Enough Stuff to Enable Renewable Energy Dominance?
I’m writing this post from my annual visit to the University of California at Santa Barbara’s Energy Efficiency Summit. As I mentioned, the focus this year is on materials science, and this raises some interesting questions; for instance, if renewable energy …
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Tagged with: Black Swan, China, CIGS, Energy Efficiency Summit, gallium, highest grade rare earth ores, materials science, neodymium, neodymium permanent magnet, power generation, rare earth elements, renewable energy dominate, solar PV industry, solar PV technology, University of California at Santa Barbara
Chaos Theory and Understanding Global Climate Change
Here’s an article from Forbes.com written by my colleague Tom Konrad on Chaos Theory as it applies to the analysis of both the stock market and climate change. This subject has been at the core of Tom’s life’s work, starting …
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Tagged with: Arctic ice gone, Black Swan, chaos theory, climate refugees, droughts, dustbowlification, Forbes.com, global climate change, global warming, melting tundra released methane, modeling Earth’s climate, ocean acidification, Ramanathan, rising sea levels, Scripps Institute, Tom Konrad, water shortages
Don’t Predict a Smooth Adoption of … Anything
For those who predict a smooth, predictable adoption of renewable energy, electric transportation, or anything at all, I enter into evidence this graphic showing the importance of social media in our world today. As this is the day of Facebook’s IPO, …
